Dens, Leaks, English Monarchs and Southern States.

Transition, Transformation and Radical Thinking. 

There are some changes in Ecuador that may bring in a new leader. 

Is there going to be a new strategy and response to the Wikileaks questions? Is the new government going to continue sticking it to the British by harboring the Whistle Blower? Rafael Corera is clearly an outlier. He is an eccentric. He loves the attention that he received from serving up the west with a fair measure of their own medicine. He probably falls into the same category as Ceaser Chavez and the current Nicholas Maduro, as well as Christina Fernandez Of Argentina, and naturally their great mentor of Cuba. 

So there is a southern front but it is weakened and threatened by some of the overtures from the new U.S administration which is using Mexico (the gateway into the U.S) to find a new way of dealing with the southern states. Memories of Reagan are still fresh the minds of historians and so is U.S involvement and support of paramilitary groups. 

The drug wars are important and may be used in the U.S as they were in China (opium wars) where they were responsible at least in part for wearing down the existing aristocracy (the middle class in the U.S can be equated to the monarchs of the day in China). 

The additional strain exists in trade as the current head of state begins to think about a rethink of the agreements that favor business between the Americas and Canada. 

Does the U.K still care given their current state of challenges with like Brexit? 

Also how does the case against the whistleblower stand given the amount of unsolicited support that he has received from none other that POTUS himself? Should the words of the president be seen as a pardon of sorts or should be separate between the case against him in the U.S and the charges that are set against him in Europe and Australia? How can you judge fairly someone who had been praised by the fountain of Honor? 

Russia has probably won the Hegemony wars that have characterized the post cold war era. At least her footprint in the middle east will prove difficult to replace. 

Does Edward Snowden have have enough room to play and does he know enough to sink the current administration? Did he already exhaust those who were listening with enough info? 

If he is still an enemy of state, is it fair to separate between his acts and those of the wikileaks founder? 

The business of intelligence has changed and now instead of favoring states, in the conventional sense the system favors corporations. And now we are seeing more of those that have stood at the helm of these groups come to the forefront of leadership so that the are negotiating for their countries yes but also for their businesses and personal interests across continents. 

This is resulting in a more important fourth estate as well as a fifth which given its freedom has found itself benefiting from the machinery its more constrained neighbor. The whistleblowers found the Information but had to depend of the larger media companies for distribution and to some extent protection. 

So instead of focusing too deeply on traditional states, we will find ourselves paying close attention to commodities and the men that manage and control access to these commodities. 

While still benefitting from the work and sacrifice of the whistleblower he will become increasingly isolated unless he is able to find a territory whose devotion to truth exceeds its concern for its global agreements.